Summary
The Uyghur militant group Turkistan Islamic Party (TIP), which played a role in toppling Syria’s Assad regime, has vowed to take its fight to China.
In a propaganda video, TIP fighters declared their mission to “liberate East Turkistan” from Chinese control, referencing cities in Xinjiang.
TIP has been active in Syria for over a decade, aligned with Islamist group HTS.
While their capabilities remain unclear, TIP’s rhetoric signals potential threats to China’s global assets. Beijing may push for their extradition, raising challenges for Syria’s new government and regional stability.
You’re gonna need more support from people in China.
Syrian rebels has the advantage of the people supporting the overthrow of Assad, there’s no widespread dissatisfaction with Xi, separatist movements would just get crushed (unless you had foreign intervention ahem USA Support), you need can’t just secede and get your freedom, you have to literally overthow Xi and the central government in Beijing, doesn’t seem that likely to me. Xi also has nukes which Assad didn’t.
Alternatively if China gets involved in Taiwan, it would also be one of the best times to try to secede.
Difference being, Chinese military isn’t as pathetic as the russian’s
Well… that’s not clear. And if they invaded Taiwan - an action that would cause catastrophic economic effects in basically every single major country in the world, because part of Taiwan’s final defense strategy is “we will melt our chip foundries to slag before we let the PRC have them” - they’ll make a staunch enemy of nearly EVERYONE. It wouldn’t be a case of “military aid”. It would be a case of “almost everyone helps Taiwan defend themselves from China”.
It’s not just Taiwan, the US would stink the island before China could seize intact chip labs.
Again, they wouldn’t need to. Taiwan has openly stated that wrecking their own advanced industry such that it can’t be co-opted is a specific point of their strategic defense plans vis a vis the PRC.
That’s not the only way for them to win. They can also just take over a territory and perform gorilla warfare that costs China so much that they have to just give up. Is that likely to succeed? Probably not. It’s a lot more likely than trying to overthrow the entire Chinese government though.
I heard Ukraine has some new ways to fight wars. What was it? Stapping a bomb to a drone then colliding with stuff. Sure DJI can spare a few for the Chinese military.
Why even send soldiers when they’ll just do drone bombings everyday till the rebels give up. Its not like China have to invade like russia had to, they already control the area, they only need to hold it, defence is much easier to do. Unlike Syria, China has much more resources, its one of the world largest economy. I think they have a way of crushing dissent. The only way the rebels can have a chance of winnning is if the US is willing to intervene. So that’s the question, does the US have the will to go up against China? Think about all the stuff that the US still manufacture in China. All the electronics, etc… I don’t think the US will go that far, not yet.
guerilla*